Temperature increase, urban forest resilience – what are some of the implications for community engagement and the values they place on their urban forest?

Temperature increases are occurring most rapidly in cities. While urban forests are being used as a strategy to adapt to the effects of increasing temperatures, there is little understanding of the likely effect of a changing climate on urban forests themselves. We used a range of big data sources to explore how trees might fare in future urban climates.

Urban heat combined with projected climate change is likely to lead to temperature increases in many cities of 5 °C (or more) from historic levels by the end of the century. While many species are at risk from increasing temperatures, hundreds of species not currently planted are likely to be suitable for most cities future climates.

Dave Kendal

Dave is a senior lecturer in Environmental Management at the University of Tasmania. He is interested in researching and teaching human-nature relationships in cities and beyond, particularly around management.
He has worked extensively on tree species suitability for future climates in cities across Australia and around the world, and on community engagement on urban forest planning.

He completed his PhD in 2012 at the Burnley campus of the University of Melbourne. Dave then worked at the Australian Research Centre for Urban Ecology, a division of the Royal Botanic Gardens Melbourne.

In 2016 he was appointed as a Research Fellow in Urban Greening at the University of Melbourne, funded through the Clean Air and Urban Landscape hub of the National Environmental Science Program.